Punters’ fate could fly high in Race 8 at HWB Scottsville

Jack Milner

Bettors face a tricky card at Hollywoodbets Scottsville on Sunday and finding a banker on the card is not that easy.

As a result one has to take a bit of a gamble, and it could be best to go with Dean Kannemeyer and Gavin Lerena. They team up with Flying Fate in Race 8, a Class 4 Handicap over 1200m.

This four-year-old daughter of Master Of My Fate has only raced six times and four of those, including his only win, were on the Polytrack at Hollywoodbets Greyville.

However, the other two, which were her debut run and her last outing, both over this course and distance, and she placed in both of them.

On debut she finished a 1.10-length second behind Luthando, and last time she finished a 1.70-length fourth behind Sohot Sowhat.

That last run was particularly impressive as the average merit rating was 90, while in this event it was 81. There is little doubt that if Sohot Sowhat, a filly often ridden by Lerena, was contesting this race, she would be going off a short-priced favourite.

Add to the fact that Flying Fate suffered some interference in that race, that was a very strong effort.

She carries 56.5kg and will jump from a decent No 5 draw.

 

Jack Milner’s selections

Race 1: 2 Diaval, 5 Maggiano, 16 One Pepper, 11 Bullet Catch

Race 2: 9 Fleur Delacour, 5 Abbey’s World, 6 California Dreamer, 8 Theleia

Race 3: 9 Scott’s Bar, 8 Runthruthejungle, 4 Trip To Venus, 1 Reign Man

Race 4: 8 Gold Gold Baby, 1 Another Dream, 3 Pretty Kara, 9 Silver Salute

Race 5: 2 Donquerari, 3 Vihaan’s Web, 7 Exocet, 6 Cavalry Commander

Race 6: 3 Skipper Zip, 2 Flamethrower, 4 Twocantango, 7 Navajo Dancer

Race 7: 8 Turbo Twenty, 7 Meerkat Moon, 1 Run Forest Run, 2 Danube

Race 8: 5 Flying Fate, 1 Scarlet Starlet, 4 Dawn Surprise, 10 Lady Godiva

 

BEST BET

Race 8: 5 Flying Fate

VALUE BET

Race 7: 8 Turbo Twenty

BEST SWINGER

Race 8 1×5

 

BIPOT

R216

Leg 1: 2, 5

Leg 2: 5, 9

Leg 3: 4, 8, 9

Leg 4: 1, 8

Leg 5: 2, 3, 7

Leg 6: 2, 3, 4

 

PLACE ACCUMULATOR

R216

Leg 1: 5, 9

Leg 2: 4, 8, 9

Leg 3: 1, 8

Leg 4: 2, 3, 7

Leg 5: 2, 3, 4

Leg 6: 7, 8

Leg 7: 5

 

PICK 6

R1200

Leg 1: 1, 4, 7, 8, 9

Leg 2: 1, 3, 8, 9

Leg 3: 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

Leg 4: 2, 3, 4, 7

Leg 5: 1, 7, 8

Leg 6: 5

 

JACKPOT 1

R240

Leg 1: 1, 3, 8, 9

Leg 2: 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

Leg 3: 2, 3, 4, 7

Leg 4: 1, 7, 8

 

JACKPOT 2

R60

Leg 1: 2, 3, 5, 6, 7

Leg 2: 2, 3, 4, 7

Leg 3: 1, 7, 8

Leg 4: 5